June 3, 2022
2022 Season, Episode 8
Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify offensive "luck".
Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify offensive "luck".
Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify defensive "luck" and what makes a pitcher "lucky".
Scott talks with the Basewinner about the starter "Stuff+" metric from The Athletic and how it can be used for betting.
Scott talks with the Basewinner about bullpens and the "Bullpen Stuff" metrics.
Scott talks with the Basewinner about how standardizing the humidification and temperature of stored balls affect their travel. Basewinner also looks at hard Hard Hit vs. OPS numbers to see which teams might regress.
On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss the futures for home run leaders and the current OPS vs OPS with RISP.
On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss how to use OPS with RISP to identify teams that are candidates for regression and the current futures markets for NL Cy Young awards.
On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss the Basewinner Pre-Season Component Ranks and the projected Division Win Percentages versus what the sportsbooks are offering.
Scott talks with Basewinner about Atlanta and Houston's bullpens for the upcoming World Series games.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the LDS recap with cumulative series BaseRuns and Basewinner ERAs, playoff projections, and the Bullpen command ratings.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoff race and identifying where his numbers show an edge over the book prices. They also discuss what Mark expects to see in the next two weeks. Will it be the Rays and the Dodgers again this year?
Scott talks with Basewinner about dismal swing betting results with the Tigers and the Astros, a new five-inning model Mark is developing, and the 3M bullpen numbers.
Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting results with the Tigers and the Blue Jays, the expected standings going into the playoffs, and the 3M bullpen numbers.
Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting results with the Cardinals, how the league futures are shaping up as we get closer to the playoffs, and the 3M bullpen numbers.
Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting the Tigers and Cardinals, the effect the recent trades will have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers.
Scott talks with Basewinner about Mariners swing betting, the effect the upcoming trades might have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers.
Scott talks with Basewinner about Astros swing betting, the next team to play on/fade based on expected standings plus 3M starter numbers, Home Run Derby strategy for Monday, and the 3M bullpen numbers.
Scott talks with Basewinner about using applying financial trading concepts to sports betting and how MLB's crackdown on "sticky stuff" is going to affect pitching stats.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the effect on OPS when a batter can get to 2-1 in the count. Then they discusses the new baseball weather site they built.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model. Also find out why Mark thinks the Cardinals are the luckiest team in baseball.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model.
Scott talks with Basewinner about his the three-metric bullpen pitcher rating tool (3MBP), the league-wide standard vs. component-based standings, league-wide WRC+ RISP vs full, and the top 20 starting pitchers.
Scott talks with Basewinner about his new three-metric pitcher ranking tool, moneylines and their implied implied odds, and WRC+ vs RISP WRC+.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming season, the NL West projections, team salaries, and what deadened ball controversies we can look forward to this year.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the LCS results and gets his thoughts on the upcoming World Series.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the LDS results and thoughts about the upcoming league championship series. They also discuss why some people choose to play with legal sportsbooks despite having worse lines.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the wildcard series results and thoughts about the upcoming league division series. They also discuss the pitcher rating tool and MLB weather tool on basewinnner.com.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the playoffs and we give final numbers and thoughts regarding the 2020 NL West Season. The guys talk about how to how to calculate house margin for playoff futures and why betting futures most likely is not the best available bet. Also, Basewinner goes over all playoff wild-card series calculations and tells you what he would bet if he was playing these and what he would do if investing in the Playoff futures market. Also, Basewinner talks about the weighted coin idea when calculating Playoff series prices.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoffs and Chris Paddack from the Padres. Is he having as bad a season as everyone says? Plus, the podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Sabermetric and Weekly standings and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression.
Scott talks with Basewinner about 2020 MLB home and away splits. Basewinner takes a look at the leaders in home/away splits involving two stats he feels are very important. How can you use these stats and splits as a baseball handicapper? Also, we takes a look at the Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen. What will be Basewinner's general betting approach when looking at his games? Plus, the podcast regular segment of in-depth NL West standings, sabermetric, and weekly standings.
Scott talks with Basewinner about the Los Angeles Angels and answers two member questions: Why does Basewinner still have the Angels offense rated so high, and why is he backing off them now despite the daily model projections usually still showing value on them? Also, BW revisits Madison Bumgarner as he makes his return back to the D'Backs rotation. What is Basewinner's take away from MadBum's awful start to his D'Back career. Plus, podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standing and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression.
Basewinner and Scott review the 2020 teams that hit the best vs. specific pitch types. This could be helpful with pitch mix game analysis. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Kenley Jansen. Basewinner still likes him goes over the reasons why plus a quick but important lesson in MLB analyzing him has brought out again.
Basewinner and Scott review the teams that have outperformed or fallen behind their pre-season expectations. This could be helpful to identify potential regression candidates. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Merril Kelly. Basewinner is upbeat on him and goes over the reasons why.
Mark and Scott discuss the NL West vs. sabermetrics, RISP vs. full disparity, the Runs/100 metric compared to wRC+, and the research Mark has been doing on fielding. We finish up by discussing Kevin Gausman from the Giants.
Mark and Scott discuss the NL West Standings, the Runs/100 metric compared to wRC+, and Madison Bumgarner's surprising lack of velocity and control.
Mark and Scott discuss the 2020 season, COVID outbreaks among the players, and how a shortened season will affect stats. Mark takes us through one of his favorite stats, Runners in Scoring Position (RISP) and Weighted Runs Created Plus. (wRC+) We finish out the episode by discussing German Marquez and his surprising home/road splits.